12/08/2025
🌍 Findings from My PhD Research on Climate Change Risk & Adaptive Behaviour
Over the course of my , I investigated how behavioural economics, institutional structures, and policy design can accelerate climate change adaptation in the energy and agriculture sectors.
this matters: Climate change impacts are intensifying, but the perception–action gap remains significantly wider. People know about the risks, yet fail to adapt. My work sought to understand why and develop solutions that work in practice.
🛠 insights
I used a three-part methodological approach tailored to each research question.
1. Review synthesises global evidence on behavioural biases and climate risk misperceptions.
2. & GSEM Modelling capturing hidden relationships between perception, awareness, and behaviour in Italy’s energy transition.
3. COM-B behavioural science model maps how capability, opportunity, and motivation shape farmers’ adaptation to extreme weather.
🔹 1 – Flood Risk Adaptation (Nudges, Policies, Solutions)
- ’ climate risk perceptions are distorted by cognitive biases and bounded rationality.
- (default settings, framing, social proof) improve adaptation without removing choice.
- failures and institutional barriers hinder large-scale change. - tools + incentives can create virtuous cycles.
🔹 2 – Energy Transition in Italy
- perceptions are the strongest driver of behaviour change in energy adaptation.
- alone is not enough - Awareness + behavioural interventions bridge the gap.
- deficits on renewables slow adoption; targeted nudges help close the gap.
- of model matter? GSEM instead of SEM revealed stronger direct and indirect effects on awareness, perception, and behaviour + corrected the inflated direct effects caused by treating ordinal data as continuous.
🔹 3 – Adaptive Behaviour of Agricultural Firms
- , opportunity, and motivation are the three pillars of adaptation.
- financial incentives cannot change individuals' behaviour towards climate adaptation (the Italian case).
- perception mediates behaviour change; trust and governance expand opportunities.
- sparks a feedback loop—more motivation → more capability-seeking → more adaptation.
📌 to Policy & Practice
1. Created a behavioural–institutional framework linking cognition, market dynamics, and policy levers.
2. Developed a diagnostic tool for adaptation challenges and intervention design.
3. Directly support the EU Green Deal and Farm-to-Fork Strategy objectives.
💡 takeaway: Integration of behavioural science with conventional policy tools needs systematic institutional reform to enhance adaptive behaviour and close the climate risk awareness gap.