24/09/2026
Do catching juvenile fish always mean losing future fish?
A new study based on trawl fisheries in the Gulf of Thailand asks a simple but important question:
When juvenile fish are caught by trawlers, does that always mean fewer adult fish in the future?
Juvenile fish are often caught in tropical trawl fisheries, and it is commonly assumed that catching them directly reduces future fish production.
But fish populations are more complicated than this simple “one juvenile caught = one future adult lost” idea.
Using 2016–2023 trawl landing data from the Gulf of Thailand, we examined 25 major fish and cephalopod taxa. Remarkably, 21 of the 25 taxa (84%) showed lower subsequent survival when juvenile abundance was higher, and 17 of these relationships were statistically significant.
In other words:
More juveniles → stronger competition → lower survival
Fewer juveniles → less competition
→ higher survival of the remaining juveniles
This is known as compensatory density dependence.
The study does NOT mean that catching juvenile fish is harmless or that juvenile fishing should be encouraged. Rather, it shows that the effects of juvenile fishing cannot necessarily be understood through a simple one-to-one relationship between juveniles caught today and adults lost in the future.
Because tropical trawl fisheries in Southeast Asia catch many small fish across multiple species, understanding these natural compensatory processes may be important for fisheries management in the region.
This study is specifically based on trawl fisheries in the Gulf of Thailand—and the results provide an empirical view of how tropical multispecies fish populations respond to changes in juvenile abundance.
Yuttharax J, Noranarttragoon P, Fransis CM, Kaewnern M, Matsuishi TF (2026). Early-life density-dependent mortality in the Gulf of Thailand. Fisheries Science. (2026). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12562-026-02025-1
PDF: https://rdcu.be/UpLW9dmwdEBa