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Uhero Research Driven Dialogue: UHERO is committed to rigorous, independent economic research used in making decisions for a better Hawai‘i.

Hawai‘i’s citizens, policymakers, businesses, and community organizations make daily choices that impact society, the environment, and the prospects for sustainable economic development. The University’s most important role in economic development is its role in educating and informing stakeholders about economic consequences and trade-offs involved in these choices. Since 1997 UHERO has established itself as the premier source for forecasts and analysis in Hawai‘i. For over ten years UHERO has conducted research that benefits the local community, publicized that research both locally and outside Hawai‘i, and expanded funded research on the Hawai‘i economy.

Hotels and short-term rentals on Kauaʻi are predicted to be at 60.9% occupancy this year, compared to 64% last year. Eco...
10/01/2026

Hotels and short-term rentals on Kauaʻi are predicted to be at 60.9% occupancy this year, compared to 64% last year. Economists at UHERO expect the island will receive almost 100,000 fewer visitors in 2026 than last year. Oʻahu is also expected to have almost 150,000 fewer tourists this year than last year, a 2.6% decrease.

A particularly intense year for storms plus surging energy prices driven by war in Iran contributed to sluggish tourism numbers, according to a new UHERO report.

Hawai‘i’s economy has slowed this year under the weight of war-driven oil prices and an unusually active storm season, i...
09/25/2026

Hawai‘i’s economy has slowed this year under the weight of war-driven oil prices and an unusually active storm season, including two hurricanes within three weeks. Real GDP growth will fall to about half a percent in 2026, from more than 3% last year, and payroll employment will edge lower. We expect gradual relief as energy prices ease and storm recovery proceeds, with growth and hiring firming in 2027 and 2028. An aging, shrinking population will keep job gains modest. Continued AI investment offers upside potential for incomes, although the extent remains uncertain.

Hawai‘i’s economy has slowed this year under the weight of war-driven oil prices and an unusually active storm season.

UHERO study reveals progress, persistent challenges for Maui wildfire survivors
07/28/2026

UHERO study reveals progress, persistent challenges for Maui wildfire survivors

The report concludes that while recovery is underway, it remains uneven—highlighting the need for continued support for wildfire survivors.

Report finds many Maui wildfire survivors still face health, housing challenges
07/28/2026

Report finds many Maui wildfire survivors still face health, housing challenges

Nearly three years after the Maui wildfires, many survivors are returning to work, gaining health insurance and finding more stable housing, but thousands continue to struggle with food insecurity, mental health challenges and lingering physical health concerns, according to a report released Monday...

Wildfire Fatigue? Community Support Is Dwindling For Maui Fire Survivors
07/28/2026

Wildfire Fatigue? Community Support Is Dwindling For Maui Fire Survivors

While a greater number of displaced residents have found stable housing and employment, wildfire survivors continue to struggle with mental and physical health.

Regulatory costs now account for over a quarter of new home prices nationally, more in Hawaii
06/25/2026

Regulatory costs now account for over a quarter of new home prices nationally, more in Hawaii

The increase in regulatory costs from $93,870 in 2021 to $131,734 in 2026 marks the largest jump between consecutive surveys by the National Association of Home Builders.

06/19/2026

The UHERO second quarter forecast released May 15 indicates Hawaiʻi's economy is slowing after what had been an improving outlook earlier this year.

06/12/2026

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