10/09/2026
🌊 The strongest El Niño on record may be only weeks away. Ecuador is on the front line, and CliMAS is on it.
Sea-surface temperatures along the Ecuadorian coast are already running more than 4°C above normal, and the WMO expects a very strong event peaking between November and January. For coastal Ecuador, that means an elevated risk of extreme rainfall, flooding, and landslides through early 2027.
We’re putting CliMAS faculty expertise to work with partners in Guayas Province, Ecuador to reduce risk and build resilience, drawing on three areas where our department is uniquely strong:
⛰️ Extreme rainfall-producing orographic convection: how the Andes shape the storms that flood the coastal region
💧 Hydrometeorology: turning rainfall into runoff, flood, sea-level, and water-security forecasts
🗣️ Societal impacts: risk communication and community preparedness that reach the people who need it
The project is led by Profs. Stephen Nesbitt, Francina Dominguez, and Joseph Trujillo-Falcón, and will involve postdocs and graduate students from CliMAS and the Department of Communication (Communication @ Illinois), with support from the Center for Latin American & Caribbean Studies (Center for Latin American & Caribbean Studies(CLACS)).
🇪🇨 El Niño más fuerte jamás registrado podría estar a semanas de distancia, y Ecuador está en primera línea. CliMAS trabaja con socios ecuatorianos para reducir el riesgo y fortalecer la resiliencia ante lluvias extremas e inundaciones.